Interesting discussion of ‘ex-ante’ versus ‘ex-poste’ here

NNT’s Blog: Quiz 7 – The problem with “drift” (The 1st who gets it wins a copy of The Black Swan )

For a guy who likes to complain about economics and economists, NNT’s point seems to be pretty close to arguing that you should take markets and basic economic arguments into account when you look at data. But maybe his points are too subtle for me.

I liked the message in ‘Fooled by Randomness,’ although I found the writing to be a bit rambly and the tone pompous.

I am looking forward to reading the new book—‘The Black Swan’—soon.

How does this relate to reading personal blogs. A lot, I think. I should not over or under react. Vague, but a reminder to myself.

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